NAICS 454110 · Landed COGS, CAC/LTV & 3PL Working Capital Model · Raw .md Mirror
DTC E-Commerce & Private Label Brand 5-Year Cash Flow & Inventory Model
⚡ Empirical Benchmark: Target Landed COGS: 14%–24% | Contribution Margin After Ad Spend: 28%–36%
Fast-growing e-commerce brands rarely fail from lack of sales—they fail from inventory cash-conversion-cycle crunches. This 5-year pro forma models MOQ reorder triggers, landed tariff buffers, blended ROAS, and net free cash flow.
✅ Action Protocol: Model 30% Deposit / 70% Balance Factory Lead Times Alongside Shopify/Amazon Payout Cycles
"Pairing exact unit BOM costs with a 60-month cash-conversion forecast lets founders secure inventory lines of credit without diluting equity."
— TIERCFO Technical Review (tiercfo.com)